Storm Chase Details

Chase Date: May 30, 2022
Chase Partners:
Adam Reagan

Chasers Encountered:
None

Miles Logged: 648
States Chased: NE, KS
Severe Risks: SPC Outlooks

Chase Recap:

This would be one of the bigger SPC and chase busts in recent memory. The signs of a strong system ejecting into the northern plains had been obvious for multiple days. I ended up biting on the setup, driving to South Dakota before chasing supercells in Southern Kansas.

Forecast

I went back and forth on making the trip during the week leading up to this. It was memorial day weekend and climatology was on my side. There was a lot of question marks on this setup, including shear vectors, veer backing, and a lot of forcing. I kind of expected a Derecho like on May 12th, but with the parameter space we were looking at, as well as Memorial day weekend meant I decided to pull the trigger. The expectations I had for the 29th was low, but the 30th seemed like a tornado outbreak in Western Iowa and Eastern Nebraska.

With Squatch needing a tornado to salvage his terrible choice of chase week, we decided to depart northward on Saturday. We’d chase Sunday and stay in Sioux City Sunday night. With the 15% hatched tornado threat just to our north for Monday, we’d wake up in a good position to chase.

Morning Mess